Understanding forecasts
El Niño to bring wetter, warmer autumn to UK
The Met Office forecasts a wetter and warmer-than-normal autumn for the UK, driven by a strengthening El Niño event.
#Why forecasts change
Every Weather story tagged Why forecasts change.
Understanding forecasts
Super El Niño Strengthens, Forecasts Reach Record Levels
A rapidly intensifying Super El Niño in the tropical Pacific is pushing forecasts into historic territory for 2026-2027. Record-level westerly wind bursts and a powerful subsurface Kelvin wave are fueling surface warming, while seasonal models predict significant impacts across the United States, Canada and Europe.
Understanding forecasts
England and Wales Record Driest July as Dry Spell Persists
England and Wales experienced their driest July on record, with minimal rainfall leading to extreme dryness and high temperatures. Forecasts suggest little relief in sight for southern England, while a potential tropical disturbance in the Atlantic could bring heavy rain to the Lesser Antilles. Meanwhile, India faces severe monsoon flooding and lightning-related fatalities.